6.1.2. Parental support and periods of housing system formation: testing the commodification effect

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The surveys do not record support provided recently and in the more distant past equally well. The distribution of the time of support provision suggests that the overwhelming majority, more than 60% of respondents, provided support to their children in the 15 years preceding the survey and around 90% of support is recorded in the preceding 25 years. For this reason, the 2003 dataset records support provided in the past two decades of state socialism, the first post-state socialist decade and the beginning of the housing boom around the millennium. The 2015 survey provides data mostly about the post-state socialist periods and the share of support providers during state socialism is very low. Hence, due to the surveys’ relatively short-term perspective of transactions, the overlap between their time span is not too large.
 

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Jegyzet elhelyezéséhez, kérjük, lépj be.!

Figure 7. Periods of housing system formation and the number of dwellings constructed between 1980 and 2018 (in the 1980-89 period without public rental housing).
Source: HCSO Yearbooks of Housing Statistics
 

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Figure 7 displaying periods of housing system formation together with the development of housing construction testifies to the significant fluctuation of construction by periods of housing system formation. Figure 8 (in the bottom scale of the graph) displays the distribution of the share of support-providing households by years passed since the provision of parental support. On the top scale of the graph, years of support provision from the 2015 survey are displayed first, years of provision from the 2003 survey are displayed second. Years from the 2003 sample are always twelve years behind as the survey was recorded twelve years earlier. Periods where the blue and the orange line diverge the most are characterised by significant differences in the frequency of support-provision. Fortunately, the two surveys were recorded in two very different periods of housing system formation: the 2003 one was recorded at the time of the expansion of mortgage lending while the 2015 one was recorded at a time when the housing market just started to leave behind the depression following the crisis and mortgage lending was subject to much stricter regulations. For this reason, the two curves record very different periods and if periods of the development of the housing system impact parental support, the two curves should diverge during different cycles. If the orange curve displays higher values than the blue one following the millennium characterised by the expansion of the mortgage market, H1 based on the transition perspective proves wrong. If it displays higher values than the blue line, the assumption that easily accessible mortgages replace parental support, that is, commodification reduces familialism, may prove correct.
 

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Jegyzet elhelyezéséhez, kérjük, lépj be.!

Figure 8. Comparison of the three-year moving average of the share of support-providing parent households by survey wave through years passed between the provision of support and recording the survey (bottom). Top: year of recording the answer displayed in the format “2015 survey / 2003 survey”.
 

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The figure shows that the occurrence of parental support increases with boom cycles of the housing market. A much bigger share of parental support was provided in the four years preceding the 2003 survey conducted during the housing boom, than the 2015 one which was carried out at the end of the “crisis management” period and the start of the current housing market uptake. The effect of the 1999-2008 housing market prosperity is clear from the 2015 data which display higher values than the 2003 line depicting the years following the regime change. The other period marked by a higher share of parental support is the 1980s when subsidies and preferential loans for single-family housing construction were introduced.

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The increase of parental support during housing market booms can be caused by the increase of transactions due to easily accessible mortgages which entails more support from the family. In this sense, parental support is widely used to supplement mortgage, meaning the latter does not substitute the former. While the share of transactions realised with the use of parental support might indeed increase after crises as Székely’s (2018, p. 69) data suggest (see in Section 4.2.4), parental support increased in absolute terms at times of housing market booms marked by housing price appreciation and the expansion of mortgage lending. A possible explanation for the higher share of transactions involving family support during the years of the depression can be explained by the lower share of investor buyers and older buyers who tend to receive less family support.

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One reason behind such strong covariance of housing market prosperity and the provision of parental support could be the dominance of types of support linked to obtaining home ownership and the fact databases contain data only about past temporary intergenerational co-residence. However, if we consider that the share of young people living with their parents dynamically increased during the housing boom, but stagnated in the post-crisis years (see Figure 5.), it is clear that intergenerational co-residence is also positively influenced by housing booms.

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The only plausible logical explanation behind the covariance of the provision of intergenerational co-residence and support provided to obtain independent housing is that in a market-based housing system housing is increasingly dependent on accessing mortgages which, however, cannot be taken without family support. Consequentially, booms in family support coincide with housing booms. Hungarian parents’ ability to provide support for independent housing may also be greater when credits are more accessible and their economic circumstances improve. Finally, housing price appreciation generated by housing booms also incite many young adults to stay or move back to the parental home.

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Data also show that in periods of housing market stagnation, young adults do not tend to move back to the parental home, but increasingly choose PRH that is cheaper in the period of housing busts. As Figure 9. demonstrates, the trend of the share of people living in PRH is the opposite of housing market booms and the provision of parental support. Further, the share of young adults among private tenants increases. Balogi and Kőszeghy (2019, p. 35) report the share of heads of households under 35 years of age living in private rental housing increased from 10% in 1999 to 30% by 2015.
 

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Jegyzet elhelyezéséhez, kérjük, lépj be.!

Figure 9. Share of population living in rental housing let at market price 2005-2019, %. Source: Eurostat (2020)
 

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According to the transition approach, a housing system with easily available mortgages poses an alternative to the post-state socialist “housing-welfare regime by default” (Norris and Domański, 2009; Stephens, Lux and Sunega, 2015; Csizmady, Hegedüs and Vonnák, 2019). In this sense, reliance on the family in housing access, and parental support in particular, should have decreased in the period of the millennial mortgage boom. The fact that the opposite occurred and a significant rise could not be observed in periods characterised by limited access to mortgages suggests that housing price appreciation during mortgage booms increases parental support while limited availability of market finance actually relieves families from financing the housing of young adults.

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Though mortgages are indeed less available during crises, PRH is cheaper and a higher share of people choose it over the stay in the parental home. Since owner-occupancy is the socially accepted tenure that Hungarian parents want to direct their adult children towards,, they do not tend to provide support for rental housing. Considering the Hungarian unregulated PRH provides rather insecure housing conditions, young adults are likely to pay the price for the lack of their mortgaged owner-occupied dwelling purchased with parental support in the form of worse living conditions at times of housing market stagnation (Kováts, 2017; Kőszeghy, 2017; Balogi and Kőszeghy, 2019).

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Trends outlined here based on the HCSO survey databases and evidence collected earlier presented in Section 4.2 suggest H1 be rejected. The assumption of the financialisation approach seems correct as young adults seemingly have to rely more on their own resources (if they rent privately or pay a mortgage) or those of their family (to pay down payment for a mortgage) in the current period characterised by a higher extent of commodification than in earlier eras marked by a higher share of public housing or the give-away privatisation.
 
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