Bugár Gyöngyi

Market and Credit Risk Management


Ridge Backtest for ES as the Resolution of the Non-Elicitability Debate

The non-elicitability of ES have proved to be a big challenge. On top of all, the formal definition of backtestability and revealing its connection to elicitability have brought another challenge. In a breakthrough paper, it has been pointed out by Acerbi − Székely (2017) that ES, the risk measure which already got a foothold in banking regulation, is not backtestable. In the same paper, however, the authors have shown the possibility for ES to admit a so-called ridge backtest which requires the prediction of VaR, which is elicitable, to be involved. It has been built on the idea that ES is jointly elicitable with VaR, shown by Fissler − Ziegel (2016). An appealing property of a ridge backtest is that it has a limited sensitivity to the prediction of VaR and the direction of the bias is known. Furthermore, building on the concept of a sharp backtest, in the most recent contribution Acerbi – Székely (2019) have shown the possibility of introducing the notion of ‘realised ES’ which can serve as an ex-post measure of tail risk. The significance of this finding is that it makes possible to compare the predicted (ex-ante) and realised (ex-post) value of ES, and eventually − in the wording of Acerbi − Székely (2019) − to perform “apples-with-apples comparisons”.1

Market and Credit Risk Management

Tartalomjegyzék


Kiadó: Akadémiai Kiadó

Online megjelenés éve: 2023

ISBN: 978 963 454 857 7

International credit crunch, Mexican peso crisis, Asian crisis, sub-prime mortgage crisis... It is enough to think back to the financial crises of the last few decades to see why risk management is essential in the economy. This book will introduce the reader to the basics of financial risk management and the tools for managing market and credit risk. However, the book is not only for those who are starting to be familiar with risk management. Its middle section, where the author describes the various risk indicators and measures, should also provide interesting information for professionals. Particularly commendable that Gyöngyi Bugár guiding us with thematically structured practical examples through this dynamically evolving field.

Bálint Zsoldos - Credit risk analyst of an international investment bank

Hivatkozás: https://mersz.hu/bugar-market-and-credit-risk-management//

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